Wednesday, January 09, 2008

always wrong

As the only person to lose money in Real Estate in the 1990's (it's a long story), and, as someone who has consistenly backed presidential candidates who either didn't get the nomination or lost, let me comment on New Hampshire.

I think the pre-vote polls were correct (Obama ahead in a blow-out), but I really believe that the final 24 hour commotion over HRC's 'emotional' moment changed everything.

I think she came off as very sympathetic and was perceived as speaking honestly. That, coupled with the natural tendency for NH voters to look at the Media and say "you can't tell ME what I'm going to do", overruled the Obama polling from two days before.

Also, even though Edwards is my current guy, I think he made a major mistake in the way he reacted to that story. He came off as mean and macho, sorry to say.

Some people are suggesting that the voting was rigged. This I cannot believe.

So, the Media got exactly what it wanted:

* a surprise - fodder for 'The Situation Room'
* a slowdown in Obama momentum
* a major slap in the face for Romney
* a minor smack-down of Huck
* an opportunity to insist that Edwards (who is eager to take on Big Media) is irrelevant

Why, oh why, do the Democrats snipe at each other, when the points that need to be made again and again is that the Republicans, since the Age of St. Ronnie, have ruined this country financially, that the W Administration is filled with criminals and incompetents, and that a Democrat MUST be elected in 2008, to prevent the Supreme Court from turning into the Star Chamber?

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